When revenue is uneven, the question is not whether the business is profitable in the long run. The urgent question is when cash arrives, when obligations leave and how much room remains between the two.
Use a rolling horizon
A 13-week rolling forecast is often easier to operate than a once-a-year budget. Refresh actual cash, committed payments, expected collections and the assumptions behind new work every week.
Separate certainty from hope
Mark inflows as contracted, probable or exploratory. Mark outflows as fixed, committed or discretionary. This simple language helps owners see where the forecast can move.
Connect the forecast to accounting
Use reconciled balances and an ageing report as the starting point. A forecast is not a replacement for financial statements; it is a forward-looking layer built on reliable records.
Key takeaways
- Refresh the forecast on a short operating cadence.
- Label assumptions by confidence level.
- Build forward-looking decisions on reconciled records.
A clear next step
Lago Mayor can combine monthly accounting with budgeting and forecasting support for the decisions ahead.
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